The bookmakers are struggling to pick a favourite between Atletico Madrid and Chelsea while Real Madrid hold a slight advantage over Bayern Munich
This time last year punters and bookmakers knew the world would be watching an all-German final at Wembley Stadium.
In the first legs of last season’s competition Bayern Munich demolished Barcelona 4-0, while four goals from Robert Lewandowski ensured Borussia Dortmund had an unassailable 4-1 lead over Real Madrid.
But this year both ties seem balanced on a knife edge and that could mean plenty of opportunities for punters who are able to read how the second legs will play out.
Chelsea and Atletico Madrid played out a bore draw in the Vicente Calderon last week and bet365 can’t split the two sides in terms of qualification for the final. Both sides are priced at 10/11 (1.91) to secure a place at Estadio da Luz in Lisbon on 24th May.
With a cagey first leg played out at a modest tempo punters could be forgiven for expecting a similarly tight affair at Stamford Bridge later this week. bet365 share that notion with under 2.5 goals priced at just 1/2 (1.50) and both teams to score available at 11/10 (2.10). In the correct score market another stalemate can be backed at 5/1 (6.0) in what looks set to be a tense night in south West London.
Real Madrid hold a 1-0 advantage in the other semi-final although Carlo Ancelotti’s side will be disappointed they are not further ahead in the tie, having missed several chances after Karim Benzema opened the scoring at the Bernabeu.
bet365 make Bayern Munich 8/11 (1.73) to win at the Allianz Arena but the Bundesliga winners are outsiders to qualify at 6/5 (2.20) with the same firm. Real Madrid can be backed at 4/6 (1.67) to make the final but they are 15/4 (4.75) outsiders in the match odds market to complete a double over Pep Guardiola’s side.
Ancelotti has already stated that he will set his side up to try and score goals in this second leg, rather than defending their slim advantage, so backing Madrid to score twice or more at 7/4 (2.75) could prove an interesting bet for Tuesday’s match.
The pressure is on Bayern to try and overturn Real’s first leg advantage and while they too look capable of goals – having notched five times in a weekend win over Werder Bremen – their backline still appears suspect enough to consider this bet as a viable option.
The fact remains that Bayern haven’t kept a clean sheet at home in eight games and while Pep Guardiola’s men will look to dominate possession and create more clear cut chances than last week’s first leg, Real Madrid have the pace and power to hurt the hosts on the counter attack, especially if Bayern are chasing the game.
Cristiano Ronaldo looked to be firing on all cylinders in Madrid’s 4-0 win over Osasuna on Saturday night and 7/4 (2.75) about his side notching twice at the Allianz Arena looks a reasonable bet for Tuesday’s second leg.
Sign up with bet365 for a first deposit bonus of up to £200
Jim Knight is Chief Betting Editor at Goal.com and has been tipping football games since he was old enough to place a bet. He is a Leicester City fan, writer and member of the We Are Going Up Podcast