JD's Betting Blog: Why it's important to keep your discipline during a good run

JD remains confident that Bayern Munich can win the Champions League and he explains why it’s important to keep your focus even during good runs of form

It is an exciting part of the season and we have reached the last four in the Champions League  Barcelona (7/4), Real Madrid (5/2), Bayern Munich (11/4) and Borussia Dortmund (13/2) will fight it out to be crowned European Champions.  

My advice at the start of the season was to back  Bayern Munich outright at 16/1 (17.0) and I remain confident that they will taste glory in May at Wembley.    

It is probably fair to say that the four best teams in Europe have made it through and we are in for some tremendous matches in the semi-final stage.

We are enjoying an excellent  run of form in the advised selections to members of www.jdfootballbetting.com. Good and bad runs of form are part and parcel of betting and even in the good stages, it is important to be measured and careful in your strategy.  

Over betting and over confidence can be a problem for some punters. It is natural if you are on a particularly good run, that your confidence is heightened and that can lead to betting too much, believing that you will keep winning. Adhere to your strategy and do not increase your frequency of betting just because you are doing so well.  

By the laws of probability, the more you bet, the closer you come to a loser. Less is more and some of the most successful punters I know believe in quality over quantity.

Looking ahead to the weekend, in the Championship, Watford have been very effective on their travels this season and can gain victory at Peterborough. 

The 7/5 (2.40) on offer by Bet365 is generous and there is a significant difference in quality between these two teams.

Javier Aguirre has transformed the fortunes of Espanyol this season and they have only tasted defeat three times in 17 matches.

They host Valencia this weekend and can be backed at 6/5 (2.20) on a draw no bet basis with Bet365 which offers both a decent price to make some profit and also the safety net that if it ends as a draw then you get your stake back.

Selection One
Selection Two

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